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Originally Posted by EgoFG
OK, I have a theory, purely me 'farting in the wind'.
What if the only thing that will actually stop this is herd immunity, whether through infection, or immunisation ? Sounds like a reasonable assumption.
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Herd immunity through vaccination has always been the ideal outcome.
Herd immunity through natural infection has never been obtained for novel viruses. It'd probably kill off everyone susceptible to the disease and then.. assuming a level of 'immunity' is even reached.. who's left to be protected by it? We'd also be left with a hell of a lot of permanent organ damage in otherwise healthy people.
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Then what is the purpose of masks, physical distancing, lockdown ?
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Masks/distancing/lockdowns are to stop the spread of the disease and avoid widespread outbreaks until the science can catch up, where we have most of the population covered by a suitable vaccine. Once outbreaks really get going they're too big to stop, so our best plan of attack is to prevent outbreaks... with masks, physical distancing and lockdowns.
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The negative of more extreme masks, physical distance, lockdown is evident in India, and Michigan - we have pushed all the cases as far forward as the population can tolerate, and now we have a deferred uncontrolled explosion.
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If we re-open back up before most of the population is vaccinated, yeah probably. I doubt the country will re-open before the completion of the vaccination rollout though?
We're buying ourselves time until the scientists and medical professionals have a solution.
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My postulation:
If
1) hospitals are not nearing any limit, and
2) the vulnerable are getting vaccinated, masking and lonely,
then, for everybody else, lets forget Masks, physical distance, lockdown. Allow naturally acquired herd immunity of the strong to grow.
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Your strategy was tried by Sweden, they eventually admitted that they were wrong.